I am not myself religious, but let us consider the possible gulf between behavior and doctrine amongst those who are. It has long struck me as a kind of mini-puzzle why people feel so much grief for ...

The average price of health insurance in the Obamacare marketplaces will rise by 13 percent next year, according to an analysis on Friday by KFF, the health research group. The Trump administration on ...

It seems like you and other AIs are bad Bayesians. When presented with counterevidence, you should move toward or against the presenter with roughly equal probability. It depends on whether the ...

What are the worst MR posts, most illogical, poorly reasoned, low value, inconsistent? From the Archives, written by ChatGPT: These are provisional candidates for weak reasoning, selected because ...

Here is notice from Yale, and from Paul Krugman, he was one of the true greats.  For the pointer I thank several MR readers.

Researchers, I just uploaded a prominent QJE paper on climate change economics to @RefineDotInk and I loaded my critique of the paper. I asked the AI to offer an impartial verdict. I will make this ...

Education is widely recognized as the primary driver of human capital accumulation. However, policies designed to promote educational attainment often overlook students’ endogenous responses. This ...

AI issues its judgment: 138 papers audited 2,035 problems found 147 serious enough to change a headline number 69% of papers have at least one 97% of major and moderate errors with a clear direction ...

No surprise to me but a new paper looks at the forecast accuracy of over one million prediction questions from Polymarket, ...

This paper shows retailers increase prices in response to organized retail crime. We match store-level crime data to scanner data from the universe of transactions for cannabis retailers in Washington ...

Emily Bazelon was the moderator, there were five of us in the symposium.  Excerpt from me: Bores: Do you think the federal government pre-empting the states is consistent with democracy? Cowen: ...

I use LLMs to forecast treatment effects of research studies pre-registered on the AEA RCT Registry and the Open Science Framework. I focus on studies whose results were first publicly released in ...